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Consumer Decision-Making in Conditions of Risk
Cetlová, Tereza ; Svobodová, Kateřina (referee) ; Škapa, Stanislav (advisor)
The aim of the thesis is to afford a complex perspective of a parallel development of psychology and economics to the readers. It is suggested, how psychological experiments could be used for the overall enrichment of the classical theory of economics. In the thesis, readers are introduced to the development of economic theories over time, and also to what role a human takes as a personality. Including the thesis is the part engaging in consumer decision process.
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Halloween efekt na kapitálových trzích
Červený, Petr
The bachelor's thesis focuses on a market anomaly known as the Halloween effect. In order to fully understand this effect, the first part of the thesis explains terms related to the researched topic. Subsequently, the existence of the effect is clarified, where the author of the work relies on the theoretical starting points of scientists who have already investigated the effect in earlier years. The main goal of the bachelor's thesis is to identify the effects of the Halloween effect on different capital markets, namely on the stock, commodity and cryptocurrency markets, based on 2 analyses: ratio analysis of individual periods and regression analysis using the OLS method. Using the obtained calculations, an evaluation of the empirical research is subsequently created, which, together with a recommendation for investors in connection with the influence of the market anomaly called the Halloween effect, represents the conclusion of the bachelor's thesis.
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Identifikácia behaviorálnej medzery: evidencia z ETF fondov
Vatrt, Martin
The thesis focuses on the topic of behavioral finance, specifically on the behavioral gap. The theoretical part of the thesis is focused on the comprehensive understanding of behavioral finance with an emphasis on investor behavior, which is a fundamental prerequisite for the size and direction of the behavioral gap. The main objective of the thesis is to identify the behavioral gap in selected exchange traded funds. Secondary, the objective includes identifying the relationship between quantified behavioral gaps at the level of individual funds and the market as a whole. Recommendations for different groups of investors are subsequently formulated based on the results of the empirical part of the thesis.
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Vliv sentimentu na vývoj ceny Bitcoinu
Bohuslav, Tomáš
The bachelor's thesis is about the influence between the price of Bitcoin and market sentiment. This connection is looked at during recurring cycles for Bitcoin, which are started in July 2010. Clarification of the influence of sentiment is also carried out during periods of significant economic events (the period of the covid-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine). The thesis discusses the specifics of the bitcoin market, basic information for understanding its functioning, and the psychology of investors. The relationship between sentiment and Bitcoin price is then tested using correlation analysis. A recommendation for including Bitcoin in the investment portfolio is also formulated. Based on the results of this work a price increase is expected in the medium-term investment horizon.
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Capital Market Anomalies
ALEŠ, Petr
This Master thesis deals with the anomalies in capital markets. Through statistical testing of data from five companies on the US stock exchange NASDAQ seeks to prove or disprove their presence on this market.
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The Impact of Popular Sports Events on the Local Stock Markets
Konvičný, Martin ; Čech, František (advisor) ; Kukačka, Jiří (referee)
The diploma thesis studies the impact of hosting popular sports events and sports results on local stock market indexes and sponsors' stock using ARMA- GARCH and ARMA-DCC-GARCH models between January 2009 and May 2021. The empirical evidence shows that sports results positively affect the returns of emerging stock market indexes in some cases. However, hosting mega sports events has a limited impact on local financial markets. I did not observe any significant loss effect after defeats. According to research results, sports variables do not influence the stock variance. Despite controlling for dependencies related to soccer sentiment, significant interdependencies across Polish and Ukrainian stock market indexes still occurred. That implies other factors are driving the correlation between the stock markets. JEL Classification G41, D53, D81, C58, Z2 Keywords sports sentiment, stock markets, behavioral fi- nance, sports events Title The Impact of Popular Sports Events on the Lo- cal Stock Markets
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Momentum in Stock Returns: Analysis for European Countries
Drmotová, Kristýna ; Kukačka, Jiří (advisor) ; Maršál, Aleš (referee)
This thesis investigates one of the most pervasive anomalies in the behaviour of stock returns, the momentum. We analyse whether there is momentum in European stock returns that would generate profitable investment strategies. First, we compute the average monthly returns on strategies built in accordance with the existing literature. Next, we compare returns on momentum strate- gies between markets with different levels of capitalization and development. Further, we test whether these returns can be explained as the compensation for risk exposures through the Capital Asset Pricing Model. We find that even though the underlying risk has perceptible predictive power for stock re- turns, there still remains a substantial part of abnormal returns unexplained by this model. Therefore, we extend it with additional explanatory variables that might have a predictive power for stock returns according to the Fama & French (1993) three-factor model and Fama & French (2015) five-factor model. We find that stocks that performed best over the short-term past tend to con- tinue to outperform other stocks and stocks that performed worst tend to have one of the lowest returns in subsequent months. We find that strategies based on buying past winners yield statistically significant positive abnormal returns. Furthermore,...
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Seasonal Effects on Stock Markets in Europe
Rosol, Jaroslav ; Kukačka, Jiří (advisor) ; Čornanič, Aleš (referee)
This thesis researches the problem of stock market efficiency and market anomalies. Specifically, we look on European stock markets and possible presence of four seasonal effects - January, Halloween, Turn-of-the-month and Monday effects. These seasonal anomalies imply that returns for specific period are unusually higher or lower than returns for the rest of the time, which presents a challenge for the Efficient Market Hypothesis. The empirical side of this problem is the possible opportunity for excessive profit from trading on stock markets that could be based on the seasonal anomalies. Firstly, we summarize previous research in the field and attempts of explanation of individual effects. Further, we present the tools needed for our analysis - Ordinary Least Squares regression with dummy variables and few extensions. Data used for the analysis consists of 32 European stock indices. The actual analysis is performed as a comparison of returns on stock for certain specified periods. The evidence on January and Monday effects is found not strong enough to confirm the presence of such anomalies. On the other side, there is enough significant evidence on the presence of Halloween and Turn-of-the-month effects. Moreover, we are unable to explain the Halloween effect as manifestation of January effect. Powered...
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